Get the best STA vs HUR Dream11 prediction for BBL Match 5. Analysis of MCG pitch report, weather, playing XIs, and top fantasy picks for Stars vs Hurricanes.
The Big Bash League (BBL) 2025-26 season is heating up as the Melbourne Stars (STA) gear up to face the defending champions, Hobart Hurricanes (HUR), in the 5th match of the tournament. This clash at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG) promises to be a high-octane encounter, with the Stars looking to kick off their campaign on a winning note at home while the Hurricanes aim to make it two wins in a row.
Advanced Match Details
Match Info
| Feature | Details |
| Match | Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes, Match 5 |
| Series | Big Bash League 2025-26 |
| Date | Thursday, December 18, 2025 |
| Time | 01:45 PM IST / 07:15 PM LOCAL |
| Venue | Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG), Melbourne |
Pitch Report
The MCG is known for its large boundaries, making it difficult for batters to clear the ropes consistently.
- Nature: Balanced, with early assistance for pacers.
- Avg Score: 1st Innings: 165–175.
- Spin vs Pace: Fast bowlers enjoy the bounce; spinners become crucial in the middle overs due to the long square boundaries.
- Toss Impact: Teams winning the toss often prefer to bowl first to gauge the movement under lights.
Weather Update
- Condition: Clear skies, perfect for cricket.
- Temperature: High of 34°C during the day, dropping to 24°C by night.
- Rain: 0% probability.
- Dew: Minimal impact expected.
Head-to-Head (H2H) Records
| Total Matches | STA Won | HUR Won | No Result |
| 22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Last 5 Matches Form
- Melbourne Stars: W, NR, W, W, L
- Hobart Hurricanes: W, W, L, L, L
Probable Playing XIs
Melbourne Stars (STA):
Thomas Fraser Rogers, Joe Clarke, Sam Harper (wk), Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis (c), Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Mark Steketee.
Hobart Hurricanes (HUR):
Mitchell Owen, Nikhil Chaudhary, Ben McDermott, Matthew Wade (wk), Tim David, Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis (c), Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith, Billy Stanlake, Rehan Ahmed.
Main Content: Tactical Analysis
The Melbourne Stars enter this game with a “fresh-start” mindset. Historically, they have dominated the Hurricanes, winning 14 out of 22 encounters. However, the Hurricanes are the reigning champions and showed great composure in their opening game chase against the Thunder.
The battle between Haris Rauf’s pace and Tim David’s finishing will be a key highlight. Additionally, the MCG’s massive dimensions mean players like Glenn Maxwell and Marcus Stoinis, who rely on finding gaps as much as power hitting, will be vital. For the Hurricanes, the form of Mitchell Owen and Nikhil Chaudhary at the top is a massive boost.
Dream11 & Fantasy Guide
Top Fantasy Picks
- Small League (Safe): Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Ben McDermott.
- Grand League (Risky): Mitchell Swepson, Mitchell Owen, Tom Curran.
- Differential Pick: Nikhil Chaudhary (low ownership, high impact).
Captain & Vice-Captain Options
- Captain: Glenn Maxwell (Bat + Ball value at MCG).
- Vice-Captain: Marcus Stoinis or Nathan Ellis.
Key Insights Section
- MCG Boundary Factor: Batters who can run hard and find gaps are more valuable than pure power-hitters here.
- Death Overs: Nathan Ellis and Haris Rauf are “must-haves” due to their proficiency in picking wickets at the death.
- Spin Factor: With the addition of Rishad Hossain and Rehan Ahmed, the Hurricanes have a potent spin twin attack that could trouble the Stars’ middle order.
Who Will Win?
Win Probability: * Melbourne Stars: 48%
- Hobart Hurricanes: 52%
Verdict: While the Stars have the H2H edge, the Hurricanes are in better match-day rhythm. Expect a close finish with the Hobart Hurricanes slightly favored.
FAQs
1. Who is the captain of Melbourne Stars?
Marcus Stoinis is the captain for the 2025-26 season.
2. Is Glenn Maxwell playing today?
Yes, Glenn Maxwell is part of the squad and expected to lead the middle order.
3. What is the average score at the MCG?
The average T20 score is around 160, but a winning total is usually 175+.
4. Where can I watch STA vs HUR live?
In India, it is streamed on Disney+ Hotstar; in Australia, on Kayo and Fox Cricket.
5. Which bowlers are best for Dream11 at MCG?
High-pace bowlers like Haris Rauf and death-over specialists like Nathan Ellis are best.
